La Liga · 28 August 2026AI PICK
Alavesvs
Villarreal
1 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.2%
- Market said
- 53.0%
- Edge
- +5.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.89
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.89
The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Alaves
Villarreal
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 1.34
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.2
- Odds
- 1.89
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.9
- Odds
- 1.63
Draw No Bet
Villarreal (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 1.77
Match Winner
Villarreal Win
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 2.40
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.