Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 17 July 2026AI PICK

Albion FC badgeAlbion FCvsJuventud badgeJuventud

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
52.7%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +5.0%
Our model57.7%
The market52.7%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Albion FC badge

Albion FC

Attack63
Defence63
Form62
Juventud badge

Juventud

Attack66
Defence40
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market75.2%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model57.7%
The market52.7%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Albion FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market45.8%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Albion FC Win

Miss
Our model41.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.6%
The market9.8%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

1-1

11.4%

1-2

8.1%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.