Albirex Niigatavs
Nara Club
2 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.4%
- Market said
- 53.5%
- Edge
- +6.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.87
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.87
The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Albirex Niigata
Nara Club
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.87
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.7
- Odds
- 1.98
Match Winner
Albirex Niigata Win
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 1.72
Draw No Bet
Albirex Niigata (DNB)
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.52
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.0%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.