Coppa Italia Serie C · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Alcionevs
Novara
0 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 44.4%
- Edge
- +13.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 13.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Alcione
Novara
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.4
- Odds
- 2.25
Draw No Bet
Novara (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Novara Win
- Edge
- +14.5
- Odds
- 3.60
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.