Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 5 September 2026AI PICK
Alcoyanovs
Cieza
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 47.8%
- Edge
- +6.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.09
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.09
The market underrated this by 6.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Alcoyano
Cieza
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -19.2
- Odds
- 1.13
Draw No Bet
Alcoyano (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.9
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 2.09
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Alcoyano Win
- Edge
- -12.7
- Odds
- 1.79
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.9%
1-1
13.4% · actual
1-2
7.7%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.