National League badgeNational League · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Aldershot Town badgeAldershot TownvsHarrogate Town badgeHarrogate Town

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
55.7%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +2.5%
Our model58.2%
The market55.7%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Aldershot Town badge

Aldershot Town

Attack43
Defence100
Form70
Harrogate Town badge

Harrogate Town

Attack76
Defence63
Form83

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model76.1%
The market82.0%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Harrogate Town (DNB)

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model65.7%
The market63.7%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.57

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market55.7%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.9%
The market59.1%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.61

Match Winner

Harrogate Town Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market51.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.94

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.82

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

8.3%

1-3

7.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.