Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 28 March 2026AI PICK

Alebrijes de Oaxaca badgeAlebrijes de OaxacavsLeones Negros UDG badgeLeones Negros UDG

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
50.0%
Markets called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Final score
1 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

LowEdge -2.6%
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%

What the model saw

Double chance : draw or Leones Negros UDG

How the two sides compared

Alebrijes de Oaxaca badge

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Attack69
Defence0
Form40
Leones Negros UDG badge

Leones Negros UDG

Attack23
Defence38
Form20

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +18.6%
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.5 Goals

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 3.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Leones Negros UDG (DNB)

Void
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Leones Negros UDG Win

Our model37.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-12.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.