Liga de Expansión MX · 14 August 2026AI PICK
Alebrijes de Oaxacavs
Tepatitlán
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.2%
- Market said
- 54.9%
- Edge
- +7.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Tepatitlán
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +8.2
- Odds
- 1.49
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.98
Match Winner
Draw
- Edge
- +10.6
- Odds
- 3.08
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- -5.7
- Odds
- 2.30
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
37.8%
1-0
24.7% · actual
0-1
10.0%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.