3. Liga badge3. Liga · 24 April 2026AI PICK

Alemannia Aachen badgeAlemannia AachenvsMSV Duisburg badgeMSV Duisburg

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
81.6%
Market said
57.5%
Edge
+24.1 pts
Best odds
1.74

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.74

High confidenceEdge +24.1%
Our model81.6%
The market57.5%

The market underrated this by 24.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Alemannia Aachen badge

Alemannia Aachen

Attack75
Defence59
Form73
MSV Duisburg badge

MSV Duisburg

Attack64
Defence53
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.1%Correct
Our model81.6%
The market57.5%
Edge
+24.1
Odds
1.74

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.7%Correct
Our model71.8%
The market62.1%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
1.61

Match Winner

Alemannia Aachen Win

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Alemannia Aachen (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.