Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Alfreton Town badgeAlfreton TownvsAvro badgeAvro

3 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.8%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+20.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Avro Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +20.8%
Our model70.8%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 20.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Alfreton Town badge

Alfreton Town

Attack15
Defence32
Form17
Avro badge

Avro

Attack100
Defence36
Form75

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +17.1%Miss
Our model88.5%
The market71.4%
Edge
+17.1
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Avro Win

Edge +20.8%Miss
Our model70.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+20.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Avro (DNB)

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model64.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market52.6%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 0-3

Miss
Our model15.6%
The market18.0%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-3

15.6%

0-2

14.2%

0-4

12.9%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.