Alfreton Townvs
Avro
3 - 0Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.8%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +20.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissAvro Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 20.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Alfreton Town
Avro
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +17.1
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
Avro Win
- Edge
- +20.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Avro (DNB)
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.2
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 0-3
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 5.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-3
15.6%
0-2
14.2%
0-4
12.9%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.