Non League Premier - Northern · 11 August 2026AI PICK
Alfreton Townvs
Gainsborough Trinity
2 - 1Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.7%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +10.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 10.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
0 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +4.1
- Odds
- 1.44
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.4
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Draw
- Edge
- +13.7
- Odds
- 3.40
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 3.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
28.7%
0-0
37.6%
0-2
11.8%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.