Alfreton Townvs
Hyde United
4 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 50.5%
- Edge
- +7.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.98
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.98
The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Alfreton Town
Hyde United
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +2.4
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Alfreton Town (DNB)
- Edge
- +7.0
- Odds
- 1.65
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.9
- Odds
- 1.98
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +7.0
- Odds
- 2.19
Match Winner
Alfreton Town Win
- Edge
- +17.7
- Odds
- 3.44
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- -3.2
- Odds
- 3.98
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
21.9%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
14.5%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.