Alfreton Townvs
Stratford Town
0 - 2Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.6%
- Market said
- 43.5%
- Edge
- +15.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.30
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30
The market underrated this by 15.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Alfreton Town
Stratford Town
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -4.0
- Odds
- 1.18
Draw No Bet
Alfreton Town (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 1.45
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.1
- Odds
- 2.30
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +12.8
- Odds
- 2.36
Match Winner
Alfreton Town Win
- Edge
- -14.6
- Odds
- 1.73
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 4.85
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
17.9%
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.2%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.