Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Algeciras badgeAlgecirasvsFC Cartagena badgeFC Cartagena

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
51.8%
Edge
+2.2 pts
Best odds
1.93

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.93

LowEdge +2.2%
Our model54.0%
The market51.8%

The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model73.8%
The market82.0%
Edge
-8.2
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Algeciras (DNB)

Miss
Our model61.6%
The market62.5%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.60

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market51.8%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.93

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market63.3%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.58

Match Winner

Algeciras Win

Miss
Our model42.1%
The market46.9%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
2.13

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model10.7%
The market12.3%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.7%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

9.8%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.