Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Algeciras badgeAlgecirasvsHércules badgeHércules

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.9%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+6.0 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +6.0%
Our model65.9%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 6.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Algeciras badge

Algeciras

Attack42
Defence51
Form51
Hércules badge

Hércules

Attack51
Defence55
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.0%Correct
Our model65.9%
The market59.9%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Algeciras Win

Miss
Our model55.3%
The market67.6%
Edge
-12.3
Odds
1.48

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model51.3%
The market44.4%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Algeciras (DNB)

Miss
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Close
Our model15.5%
The market13.5%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.5%

1-0

14.3%

1-1

11.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.