Primera División badgePrimera División · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Alianza Atletico badgeAlianza AtleticovsSport Boys badgeSport Boys

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+3.3 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +3.3%
Our model65.0%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Alianza Atletico badge

Alianza Atletico

Attack38
Defence61
Form39
Sport Boys badge

Sport Boys

Attack38
Defence44
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.3%Correct
Our model65.0%
The market61.7%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Alianza Atletico Win

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model53.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Alianza Atletico (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model46.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
2.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.