Primera División · 21 August 2026AI PICK
Alianza Atleticovs
Sporting Cristal
3 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 49.8%
- Edge
- +3.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 3.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +3.9
- Odds
- 1.56
Draw No Bet
Alianza Atletico (DNB)
- Edge
- +13.8
- Odds
- 2.32
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.9
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.9
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Alianza Atletico Win
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 2.60
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.02
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.7%
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.1%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.