Primera División · 4 September 2026AI PICK
Alianza Atleticovs
UTC Cajamarca
3 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 50.2%
- Edge
- +11.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -10.4
- Odds
- 1.16
Draw No Bet
Alianza Atletico (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.9
- Odds
- 1.37
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.0
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.84
Match Winner
Alianza Atletico Win
- Edge
- -8.3
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.06
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
7.4%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.