Primera División badgePrimera División · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Alianza Lima badgeAlianza LimavsAlianza Atletico badgeAlianza Atletico

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
50.5%
Edge
+6.9 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +6.9%
Our model57.4%
The market50.5%

The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Alianza Lima badge

Alianza Lima

Attack60
Defence72
Form56
Alianza Atletico badge

Alianza Atletico

Attack53
Defence48
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.8%
The market90.9%
Edge
-16.1
Odds
1.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market50.5%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.2%Correct
Our model57.2%
The market45.0%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
2.38

Draw No Bet

Alianza Lima (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Alianza Lima Win

Correct
Our model49.5%
The market73.5%
Edge
-24.0
Odds
1.36

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.3%
The market10.7%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.38

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.3%

1-1

11.6%

1-2

7.2%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.