Primera División badgePrimera División · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Alianza Lima badgeAlianza LimavsSporting Cristal badgeSporting Cristal

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.9%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+11.5 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +11.5%
Our model63.9%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Alianza Lima badge

Alianza Lima

Attack61
Defence100
Form73
Sporting Cristal badge

Sporting Cristal

Attack55
Defence45
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model63.9%
The market52.4%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.7%Close
Our model63.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Alianza Lima Win

Edge +10.5%Miss
Our model60.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Alianza Lima (DNB)

Void
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.0%
The market7.8%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.0%

1-1

8.5% · actual

1-0

8.1%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.