Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 18 July 2026AI PICK

Alianza Universidad badgeAlianza UniversidadvsAyacucho FC badgeAyacucho FC

3 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+3.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +3.6%
Our model57.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Alianza Universidad badge

Alianza Universidad

Attack61
Defence48
Form46
Ayacucho FC badge

Ayacucho FC

Attack29
Defence65
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.9%
The market84.7%
Edge
-9.8
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Alianza Universidad (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model57.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.6%Miss
Our model57.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model55.4%
The market63.7%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Alianza Universidad Win

Correct
Our model41.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
-11.0
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model17.5%
The market20.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
4.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.5%

0-0

15.0%

2-0

13.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.