Alianza Universidadvs
Ayacucho FC
3 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.7%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +3.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Alianza Universidad
Ayacucho FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -9.8
- Odds
- 1.18
Draw No Bet
Alianza Universidad (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 1.85
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -8.3
- Odds
- 1.57
Match Winner
Alianza Universidad Win
- Edge
- -11.0
- Odds
- 1.90
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 4.97
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
17.5%
0-0
15.0%
2-0
13.3%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.