Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 24 August 2026AI PICK

Alianza Universidad badgeAlianza UniversidadvsBentín Tacna Heroica badgeBentín Tacna Heroica

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
45.2%
Edge
+8.5 pts
Best odds
2.21

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.21

LowEdge +8.5%
Our model53.7%
The market45.2%

The market underrated this by 8.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Alianza Universidad badge

Alianza Universidad

Attack59
Defence47
Form44
Bentín Tacna Heroica badge

Bentín Tacna Heroica

Attack70
Defence55
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.5%
The market78.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Bentín Tacna Heroica (DNB)

Edge +10.7%Miss
Our model56.2%
The market45.5%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
2.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market45.2%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.21

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market53.2%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.88

Match Winner

Bentín Tacna Heroica Win

Edge +12.1%Miss
Our model42.4%
The market30.3%
Edge
+12.1
Odds
3.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7%

1-1

12.2%

2-1

8.1%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.