Primera A badgePrimera A · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Alianza Valledupar badgeAlianza ValleduparvsDeportes Tolima badgeDeportes Tolima

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
53.8%
Markets called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Final score
1 - 2

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

LowEdge -5.8%
Our model53.8%
The market59.6%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Alianza Valledupar badge

Alianza Valledupar

Attack42
Defence73
Form47
Deportes Tolima badge

Deportes Tolima

Attack51
Defence59
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Deportes Tolima (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model53.8%
The market59.6%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market51.4%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.83

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model51.7%
The market73.5%
Edge
-21.8
Odds
1.36

Match Winner

Deportes Tolima Win

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model38.4%
The market38.2%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
2.62

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.0%

1-1

14.5%

0-0

9.9%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.