Eredivisie badgeEredivisie · 6 May 2026AI PICK

Almere City FC badgeAlmere City FCvsDe Graafschap badgeDe Graafschap

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.9%
Market said
74.1%
Edge
+4.8 pts
Best odds
1.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.35

High confidenceEdge +4.8%
Our model78.9%
The market74.1%

The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Almere City FC badge

Almere City FC

Attack65
Defence50
Form56
De Graafschap badge

De Graafschap

Attack63
Defence63
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market81.3%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.8%Correct
Our model78.9%
The market74.1%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model70.9%
The market75.8%
Edge
-4.9
Odds
1.32

Match Winner

Almere City FC Win

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model54.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Almere City FC (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.