Tweede Divisie badgeTweede Divisie · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Almere City II badgeAlmere City IIvsKoninklijke HFC badgeKoninklijke HFC

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
42.9%
Edge
+18.4 pts
Best odds
2.33

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.33

MediumEdge +18.4%
Our model61.3%
The market42.9%

The market underrated this by 18.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Almere City II badge

Almere City II

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Koninklijke HFC badge

Koninklijke HFC

Attack17
Defence51
Form0

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model83.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Almere City II (DNB)

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model74.6%
The market73.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.37

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.4%Close
Our model61.3%
The market42.9%
Edge
+18.4
Odds
2.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.3%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market43.7%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
2.29

Match Winner

Almere City II Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market62.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.61

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model15.1%
The market17.4%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
5.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.1%

1-1

13.2%

0-0

12.6%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.