Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 31 May 2026AI PICK

Almeria badgeAlmeriavsValladolid badgeValladolid

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.3%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+1.6 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +1.6%
Our model65.3%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 1.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Almeria badge

Almeria

Attack76
Defence40
Form58
Valladolid badge

Valladolid

Attack46
Defence50
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model65.3%
The market63.7%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Almeria Win

Correct
Our model64.7%
The market70.4%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
1.42

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.6%Miss
Our model62.4%
The market57.8%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Almeria (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.7%
The market8.4%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-0

8.7% · actual

2-0

8.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.