Aluminijvs
Celje
0 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.5%
- Market said
- 34.3%
- Edge
- +21.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.74
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.74
The market underrated this by 21.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Aluminij
Celje
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -4.6
- Odds
- 1.13
Draw No Bet
Celje (DNB)
- Edge
- +19.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +21.2
- Odds
- 2.74
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +16.8
- Odds
- 2.59
Match Winner
Celje Win
- Edge
- -12.5
- Odds
- 1.56
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -2.0
- Odds
- 6.46
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
13.5% · actual
0-1
12.9%
1-1
11.2%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.