Aluminijvs
Maribor
0 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 41.4%
- Edge
- +14.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.35
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35
The market underrated this by 14.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -10.6
- Odds
- 1.17
Draw No Bet
Maribor (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.4
- Odds
- 2.35
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +13.0
- Odds
- 2.25
Match Winner
Maribor Win
- Edge
- -17.1
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.49
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
10.5%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.