UEFA Europa League · 16 July 2026AI PICK
Aluminijvs
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 - 1Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 44.7%
- Edge
- +11.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 11.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Aluminij
Sheriff Tiraspol
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Sheriff Tiraspol (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.1
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Sheriff Tiraspol Win
- Edge
- -10.8
- Odds
- 1.91
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 7.97
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
10.9%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.7% · actual
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.