Alvercavs
Arouca
2 - 1Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Model confidence
- 58.1%
- Markets called
- 5 of 5 right
- Final score
- 2 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.70
MediumEdge -0.7%
Our model58.1%
The market58.8%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Alverca
Attack42
Defence40
Form40
Arouca
Attack57
Defence48
Form49
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model58.1%
The market58.8%
- Edge
- -0.7
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Alverca Win
Edge +1.6%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model50.5%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +0.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Alverca (DNB)
Correct
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.