Primeira Liga · 12 April 2026AI PICK
Alvercavs
Casa Pia
3 - 1Correct
Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.1%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +14.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectAlverca Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
MediumEdge +14.1%
Our model64.1%
The market50.0%
The market underrated this by 14.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Double chance : Alverca or draw
How the two sides compared
Alverca
Attack40
Defence47
Form40
Casa Pia
Attack13
Defence47
Form20
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Edge +18.6%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
- Edge
- +18.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Match Winner
Alverca Win
Edge +14.1%Correct
Our model64.1%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +14.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Alverca (DNB)
Correct
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.