Primeira Liga · 15 August 2026AI PICK
Alvercavs
Estrela
2 - 2Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 44.7%
- Edge
- +9.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 9.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Alverca
Estrela
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +12.2
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Estrela (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.0
- Odds
- 2.15
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Estrela Win
- Edge
- +12.8
- Odds
- 3.30
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.84
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
8.9%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.