Primeira Liga · 29 August 2026AI PICK
Alvercavs
Santa Clara
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 42.1%
- Edge
- +19.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.32
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.32
The market underrated this by 19.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Alverca
Santa Clara
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 1.46
Draw No Bet
Santa Clara (DNB)
- Edge
- +16.2
- Odds
- 1.94
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +19.2
- Odds
- 2.32
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 1.88
Match Winner
Santa Clara Win
- Edge
- +12.8
- Odds
- 2.69
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.85
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.8%
1-1
11.1% · actual
0-2
8.2%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.