Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Alverca badgeAlvercavsSC Braga badgeSC Braga

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+2.0 pts
Best odds
1.81

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.81

LowEdge +2.0%
Our model54.6%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 2.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Alverca badge

Alverca

Attack41
Defence61
Form52
SC Braga badge

SC Braga

Attack66
Defence100
Form80

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model72.2%
The market80.6%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
1.24

Draw No Bet

SC Braga (DNB)

Correct
Our model60.8%
The market69.9%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.43

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.81

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.7%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market48.9%
Edge
+5.7
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

SC Braga Win

Correct
Our model43.2%
The market52.9%
Edge
-9.7
Odds
1.89

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Correct
Our model9.7%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.7% · actual

1-1

12.2%

0-2

8.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.