Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Amarante badgeAmarantevsCF Os Belenenses badgeCF Os Belenenses

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.4%
Market said
41.5%
Edge
+25.9 pts
Best odds
2.41

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.41

MediumEdge +25.9%
Our model67.4%
The market41.5%

The market underrated this by 25.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Amarante badge

Amarante

Attack66
Defence76
Form76
CF Os Belenenses badge

CF Os Belenenses

Attack84
Defence56
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.1%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market71.9%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
1.39

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +25.9%Correct
Our model67.4%
The market41.5%
Edge
+25.9
Odds
2.41

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.3%Correct
Our model65.6%
The market50.3%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
1.99

Match Winner

Amarante Win

Miss
Our model47.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Amarante (DNB)

Void
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.