Liga 3 · 10 May 2026AI PICK
Amarantevs
União Santarém
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.2%
- Market said
- 59.9%
- Edge
- +4.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Amarante
União Santarém
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.3
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Amarante (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Amarante Win
- Edge
- +3.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.0
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.45
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
15.4% · actual
1-1
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.