Serie C badgeSerie C · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Amazonas badgeAmazonasvsCaxias badgeCaxias

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+20.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Amazonas Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +20.3%
Our model70.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 20.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Amazonas badge

Amazonas

Attack44
Defence94
Form53
Caxias badge

Caxias

Attack21
Defence81
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Amazonas Win

Edge +20.3%Miss
Our model70.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+20.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model65.1%
The market66.7%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Amazonas (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Void
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Correct
Our model43.1%
The market42.0%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
2.38

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.