Primera A badgePrimera A · 3 September 2026AI PICK

America de Cali badgeAmerica de CalivsAlianza Valledupar badgeAlianza Valledupar

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
50.5%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.98

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.98

LowEdge +4.1%
Our model54.6%
The market50.5%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

America de Cali badge

America de Cali

Attack68
Defence98
Form69
Alianza Valledupar badge

Alianza Valledupar

Attack40
Defence45
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market98.0%
Edge
-24.5
Odds
1.02

Draw No Bet

America de Cali (DNB)

Correct
Our model58.2%
The market88.5%
Edge
-30.3
Odds
1.13

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market50.5%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.98

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.2%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market47.4%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
2.11

Match Winner

America de Cali Win

Correct
Our model36.8%
The market76.3%
Edge
-39.5
Odds
1.31

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.0%

1-1

11.9%

2-1

10.0%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.