Primera A badgePrimera A · 10 August 2026AI PICK

America de Cali badgeAmerica de CalivsAtletico Nacional badgeAtletico Nacional

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.5%
Market said
44.6%
Edge
+11.9 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +11.9%
Our model56.5%
The market44.6%

The market underrated this by 11.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

America de Cali badge

America de Cali

Attack55
Defence79
Form62
Atletico Nacional badge

Atletico Nacional

Attack76
Defence73
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market73.5%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.9%Miss
Our model56.5%
The market44.6%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Atletico Nacional (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market52.2%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Atletico Nacional Win

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market33.3%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
3.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

10.8%

2-1

7.2%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.