Serie B · 9 September 2026AI PICK
America Mineirovs
Nautico Recife
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.8%
- Market said
- 54.8%
- Edge
- +5.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 1.97
Draw No Bet
America Mineiro (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.5
- Odds
- 1.94
Match Winner
America Mineiro Win
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 2.59
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.38
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.8%
2-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.