Serie D · 20 June 2026AI PICK

América RJvsXV de Piracicaba

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 59.3%
Market said: 50.0%
Edge: +9.3 pts
Best odds: 2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +9.3%

Our model59.3%

The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

América RJ

Attack60

Defence40

Form53

XV de Piracicaba

Attack57

Defence67

Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market78.1%

Edge: +6.9
Odds: 1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.3%Correct

Our model59.3%

The market50.0%

Edge: +9.3
Odds: 2.00

Match Winner

América RJ Win

Edge +33.3%Miss

Our model57.7%

The market24.4%

Edge: +33.3
Odds: 4.10

Draw No Bet

América RJ (DNB)

Void

Our model53.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -4.1
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.4%Close

Our model52.9%

The market45.5%

Edge: +7.4
Odds: 2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%

Our model10.9%

The market9.5%

Edge: +1.4
Odds: 10.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.9%

1-1

10.1% · actual

0-1

9.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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