Serie D badgeSerie D · 17 May 2026AI PICK

America-RN badgeAmerica-RNvsLaguna badgeLaguna

5 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.7%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+15.6 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +15.6%
Our model63.7%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 15.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

America-RN badge

America-RN

Attack38
Defence73
Form46
Laguna badge

Laguna

Attack39
Defence31
Form16

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market90.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.11

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.6%Miss
Our model63.7%
The market48.1%
Edge
+15.6
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model61.5%
The market76.9%
Edge
-15.4
Odds
1.30

Match Winner

America-RN Win

Correct
Our model55.1%
The market87.7%
Edge
-32.6
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

America-RN (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.9%
The market14.7%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.9%

1-0

16.9%

0-0

14.5%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.