Serie C badgeSerie C · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Anápolis badgeAnápolisvsSanta Cruz badgeSanta Cruz

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+1.6 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

LowEdge +1.6%
Our model54.0%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 1.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Anápolis badge

Anápolis

Attack47
Defence66
Form43
Santa Cruz badge

Santa Cruz

Attack50
Defence71
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model67.2%
The market82.0%
Edge
-14.8
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market52.4%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market58.8%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Anápolis (DNB)

Void
Our model51.9%
The market61.3%
Edge
-9.4
Odds
1.63

Match Winner

Anápolis Win

Miss
Our model35.4%
The market44.6%
Edge
-9.2
Odds
2.24

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model10.3%
The market11.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.3%

1-1

15.0% · actual

0-0

11.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.