Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Antequera badgeAntequeravsIbiza badgeIbiza

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
2.02

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.02

LowEdge +4.5%
Our model54.0%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Antequera badge

Antequera

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Ibiza badge

Ibiza

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.7%
The market76.3%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market49.5%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.02

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.8%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market41.0%
Edge
+12.8
Odds
2.44

Draw No Bet

Ibiza (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.4%
The market56.5%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.77

Match Winner

Ibiza Win

Miss
Our model40.4%
The market42.9%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
2.33

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.