Antwerpvs
Genk
4 - 4Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 52.3%
- Edge
- +7.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.86
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.86
The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Antwerp
Genk
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.31
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.1
- Odds
- 1.86
Draw No Bet
Genk (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 1.63
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.66
Match Winner
Genk Win
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 2.18
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.92
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.