Primera División · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Anzoátegui FCvsPortuguesa FC

3 - 4

Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 54.5%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +10.1 pts
Best odds: 2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

LowEdge +10.1%

Our model54.5%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Anzoátegui FC

Attack58

Defence37

Form41

Portuguesa FC

Attack51

Defence71

Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.3%

Our model72.7%

The market69.4%

Edge: +3.3
Odds: 1.44

Draw No Bet

Anzoátegui FC (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss

Our model60.3%

The market57.1%

Edge: +3.2
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.1%Correct

Our model54.5%

The market44.4%

Edge: +10.1
Odds: 2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.2%Correct

Our model53.6%

The market52.4%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 1.91

Match Winner

Anzoátegui FC Win

Edge +3.9%Miss

Our model43.1%

The market39.2%

Edge: +3.9
Odds: 2.55

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model9.2%

The market10.5%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 9.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-1

13.0%

1-2

7.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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