Serie D badgeSerie D · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Aparecidense badgeAparecidensevsLuverdense badgeLuverdense

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+2.0 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

LowEdge +2.0%
Our model54.6%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 2.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Aparecidense badge

Aparecidense

Attack67
Defence34
Form33
Luverdense badge

Luverdense

Attack33
Defence100
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Aparecidense (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Aparecidense Win

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model50.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model48.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.