Serie D · 30 May 2026AI PICK
Aparecidensevs
Primavera MG
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.8%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +2.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
MissAparecidense Win
Match Winner · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 2.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Aparecidense
Primavera MG
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Match Winner
Aparecidense Win
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Aparecidense (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.6
- Odds
- 2.15
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.5
- Odds
- 9.97
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.3% · actual
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.