Australia Cup badgeAustralia Cup · 14 July 2026AI PICK

APIA Leichhardt Tigers badgeAPIA Leichhardt TigersvsPeninsula Power badgePeninsula Power

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
83.0%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+21.3 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.62

High confidenceEdge +21.3%
Our model83.0%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 21.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

APIA Leichhardt Tigers badge

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Attack69
Defence66
Form71
Peninsula Power badge

Peninsula Power

Attack84
Defence59
Form78

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +21.3%Correct
Our model83.0%
The market61.7%
Edge
+21.3
Odds
1.62

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.4%
The market85.5%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

Peninsula Power (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model58.7%
The market62.5%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Peninsula Power Win

Edge +13.2%Miss
Our model41.8%
The market28.6%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
3.50

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.