Australia Cup badgeAustralia Cup · 12 August 2026AI PICK

APIA Leichhardt Tigers badgeAPIA Leichhardt TigersvsSydney United badgeSydney United

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+4.7 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

APIA Leichhardt Tigers Win

Match Winner · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +4.7%
Our model60.3%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

APIA Leichhardt Tigers badge

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Attack69
Defence63
Form71
Sydney United badge

Sydney United

Attack36
Defence100
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market80.0%
Edge
-6.5
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

APIA Leichhardt Tigers (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Void
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

APIA Leichhardt Tigers Win

Edge +4.7%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market55.6%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.6%Close
Our model56.5%
The market54.9%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market56.7%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

9.6% · actual

2-0

8.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.